Three Essays on Demand and Supply Management

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In the first chapter, I consider a capacity and price bounded profit maximization problem in which a firm determines prices of multiple substitutable products when the supply or capacity of the products is limited and the prices are bounded. This

In the first chapter, I consider a capacity and price bounded profit maximization problem in which a firm determines prices of multiple substitutable products when the supply or capacity of the products is limited and the prices are bounded. This problem applies broadly to many pricing decision settings such as for hotel rooms, airline seats, fashion, or other seasonal retail products, as well as any product line with shared production capacity. In this paper, I characterize structural properties of the constrained profit maximization problems under the Multinomial Logit (MNL) model and the optimal pricing solutions, and present efficient solution approaches. In the second chapter, I consider a data-driven profit maximization problem in which a firm determines the prices of multiple substitutable products. This problem applies broadly to many pricing decision settings such as for hotel rooms, airline seats, fashion, or other seasonal retail products. A typical data-driven optimization problem takes a two-step approach of parameter estimation and optimization for decisions. However, this often returns a suboptimal solution as the estimation error due to the variability in data impacts the quality of the optimal solution. I present the relationship between estimation error and quality of the optimal solution and provide a possible way to reduce the impact of the error on the optimal pricing decision under the MNL model. In the last chapter, I consider a facility layout design problem of a semiconductor fabrication facility (FAB). In designing a facility layout, the traditional approach has been to minimize the flow-weighted distance of materials through the automated material handling system (AMHS). However, distance focused approach sometimes yields one major issue, traffic congestion, that there is a question if it is truly a good criterion to design a layout. In this study, I try to understand what makes such congestion by analyzing the system dynamics and propose another approach with a concept of ``balancing the flow" that focuses more on resolving the congestion. Finally, I compare the performance of the two methods through the simulation of semiconductor FAB layouts.
Date Created
2021
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The Impact and Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Food Supply Chain and Food Insecurity

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My project focuses on the problems created by the COVID-19 pandemic that impacted the food supply chain in the United States and how they contributed to food insecurity. I identified the three key problems, the shift in demand from the

My project focuses on the problems created by the COVID-19 pandemic that impacted the food supply chain in the United States and how they contributed to food insecurity. I identified the three key problems, the shift in demand from the commercial to the retail market, the discarding of raw food and produce, and consumer panic buying. I used the analysis of these problems to then formulate a set of solutions that would work to solve these problems.

Date Created
2021-05
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Multi-objective Resource Constrained Parallel Machine Scheduling Model with Setups, Machine Eligibility Restrictions, Release and Due Dates with User Interaction

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This dissertation explores the use of deterministic scheduling theory for the design and development of practical manufacturing scheduling strategies as alternatives to current scheduling methods, particularly those used to minimize completion times and increase system capacity utilization. The efficient scheduling

This dissertation explores the use of deterministic scheduling theory for the design and development of practical manufacturing scheduling strategies as alternatives to current scheduling methods, particularly those used to minimize completion times and increase system capacity utilization. The efficient scheduling of production systems can make the difference between a thriving and a failing enterprise, especially when expanding capacity is limited by the lead time or the high cost of acquiring additional manufacturing resources. A multi-objective optimization (MOO) resource constrained parallel machine scheduling model with setups, machine eligibility restrictions, release and due dates with user interaction is developed for the scheduling of complex manufacturing systems encountered in the semiconductor and plastic injection molding industries, among others. Two mathematical formulations using the time-indexed Integer Programming (IP) model and the Diversity Maximization Approach (DMA) were developed to solve resource constrained problems found in the semiconductor industry. A heuristic was developed to find fast feasible solutions to prime the IP models. The resulting models are applied in two different ways: constructing schedules for tactical decision making and constructing Pareto efficient schedules with user interaction for strategic decision making aiming to provide insight to decision makers on multiple competing objectives.
Optimal solutions were found by the time-indexed IP model for 45 out of 45 scenarios in less than one hour for all the problem instance combinations where setups were not considered. Optimal solutions were found for 18 out of 45 scenarios in less than one hour for several combinations of problem instances with 10 and 25 jobs for the hybrid (IP and heuristic) model considering setups. Regarding the DMA MOO scheduling model, the complete efficient frontier (9 points) was found for a small size problem instance in 8 minutes, and a partial efficient frontier (29 points) was found for a medium sized problem instance in 183 hrs.
Date Created
2020
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Data Driven Personalized Management of Hospital Inventory of Perishable and Substitutable Blood Units

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The use of Red Blood Cells (RBCs) is a pillar of modern health care. Annually, the lives of hundreds of thousands of patients are saved through ready access to safe, fresh, blood-type compatible RBCs. Worldwide, hospitals have the common goal

The use of Red Blood Cells (RBCs) is a pillar of modern health care. Annually, the lives of hundreds of thousands of patients are saved through ready access to safe, fresh, blood-type compatible RBCs. Worldwide, hospitals have the common goal to better utilize available blood units by maximizing patients served and reducing blood wastage. Managing blood is challenging because blood is perishable, its supply is stochastic and its demand pattern is highly uncertain. Additionally, RBCs are typed and patient compatibility is required.

This research focuses on improving blood inventory management at the hospital level. It explores the importance of hospital characteristics, such as demand rate and blood-type distribution in supply and demand, for improving RBC inventory management. Available inventory models make simplifying assumptions; they tend to be general and do not utilize available data that could improve blood delivery. This dissertation develops useful and realistic models that incorporate data characterizing the hospital inventory position, distribution of blood types of donors and the population being served.

The dissertation contributions can be grouped into three areas. First, simulations are used to characterize the benefits of demand forecasting. In addition to forecast accuracy, it shows that characteristics such as forecast horizon, the age of replenishment units, and the percentage of demand that is forecastable influence the benefits resulting from demand variability reduction.

Second, it develops Markov decision models for improved allocation policies under emergency conditions, where only the units on the shelf are available for dispensing. In this situation the RBC perishability has no impact due to the short timeline for decision making. Improved location-specific policies are demonstrated via simulation models for two emergency event types: mass casualty events and pandemic influenza.

Third, improved allocation policies under normal conditions are found using Markov decision models that incorporate temporal dynamics. In this case, hospitals receive replenishment and units age and outdate. The models are solved using Approximate Dynamic Programming with model-free approximate policy iteration, using machine learning algorithms to approximate value or policy functions. These are the first stock- and age-dependent allocation policies that engage substitution between blood type groups to improve inventory performance.
Date Created
2020
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Bioman: Discrete-event Simulator to Analyze Operations for Car-T Cell Therapy Manufacturing

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Description
The success of genetically-modified T-cells in treating hematological malignancies has accelerated the research timeline for Chimeric Antigen Receptor-T (CAR-T) cell therapy. Since there are only two approved products (Kymriah and Yescarta), the process knowledge is limited. This leads to a

The success of genetically-modified T-cells in treating hematological malignancies has accelerated the research timeline for Chimeric Antigen Receptor-T (CAR-T) cell therapy. Since there are only two approved products (Kymriah and Yescarta), the process knowledge is limited. This leads to a low efficiency at manufacturing stage with serious challenges corresponding to high cost and scalability. In addition, the individualized nature of the therapy limits inventory and creates a high risk of product loss due to supply chain failure. The sector needs a new manufacturing paradigm capable of quickly responding to individualized demands while considering complex system dynamics.

The research formulates the problem of Chimeric Antigen Receptor-T (CAR-T) manufacturing design, understanding the performance for large scale production of personalized therapies. The solution looks to develop a simulation environment for bio-manufacturing systems with single-use equipment. The result is BioMan: a discrete-event simulation model that considers the role of therapy's individualized nature, type of processing and quality-management policies on process yield and time, while dealing with the available resource constraints simultaneously. The tool will be useful to understand the impact of varying factor inputs on Chimeric Antigen Receptor-T (CAR-T) cell manufacturing and will eventually facilitate the decision-maker to finalize the right strategies achieving better processing, high resource utilization, and less failure rates.
Date Created
2020
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Data-Driven Decision-Making for Medications Management Modalities

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Description
One of the critical issues in the U.S. healthcare sector is attributed to medications management. Mismanagement of medications can not only bring more unfavorable medical outcomes for patients, but also imposes avoidable medical expenditures, which can be partially accounted for

One of the critical issues in the U.S. healthcare sector is attributed to medications management. Mismanagement of medications can not only bring more unfavorable medical outcomes for patients, but also imposes avoidable medical expenditures, which can be partially accounted for the enormous $750 billion that the American healthcare system wastes annually. The lack of efficiency in medical outcomes can be due to several reasons. One of them is the problem of drug intensification: a problem associated with more aggressive management of medications and its negative consequences for patients.

To address this and many other challenges in regard to medications mismanagement, I take advantage of data-driven methodologies where a decision-making framework for identifying optimal medications management strategies will be established based on real-world data. This data-driven approach has the advantage of supporting decision-making processes by data analytics, and hence, the decision made can be validated by verifiable data. Thus, compared to merely theoretical methods, my methodology will be more applicable to patients as the ultimate beneficiaries of the healthcare system.

Based on this premise, in this dissertation I attempt to analyze and advance three streams of research that are influenced by issues involving the management of medications/treatments for different medical contexts. In particular, I will discuss (1) management of medications/treatment modalities for new-onset of diabetes after solid organ transplantations and (2) epidemic of opioid prescription and abuse.
Date Created
2019
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Analysis of the Implementation of the Emergency Food Bag Program and Operations at United Food Bank

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The following report is an analysis of the decision to change food distribution at United Food Bank and an analysis on the transition. In order to distribute the best food items in a standard quantity, United Food Bank has come

The following report is an analysis of the decision to change food distribution at United Food Bank and an analysis on the transition. In order to distribute the best food items in a standard quantity, United Food Bank has come up with the idea of Emergency Food Bags (EFB). Packed into reusable bags are a fruit product, a vegetable product, a protein, and a starch meal item. The intention is for the EFB to serve as a grocery supplement and products are intentionally picked so recipients can create meals. With this transition, there are many factors to consider such as production levels and government assistance. This report will address all aspects and give recommendations to United Food Bank.
Date Created
2019-05
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Dynamics of information distribution on social media platforms during disasters

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Description
When preparing for and responding to disasters, humanitarian organizations must run effective and efficient supply chains to deliver the resources needed by the affected population. The management of humanitarian supply chains include coordinating the flows of goods, finances, and information.

When preparing for and responding to disasters, humanitarian organizations must run effective and efficient supply chains to deliver the resources needed by the affected population. The management of humanitarian supply chains include coordinating the flows of goods, finances, and information. This dissertation examines how humanitarian organizations can improve the distribution of information, which is critical for the planning and coordination of the other two flows. Specifically, I study the diffusion of information on social media platforms since such platforms have emerged as useful communication tools for humanitarian organizations during times of crisis.

In the first chapter, I identify several factors that affect how quickly information spreads on social media platforms. I utilized Twitter data from Hurricane Sandy, and the results indicate that the timing of information release and the influence of the content’s author determine information diffusion speed. The second chapter of this dissertation builds directly on the first study by also evaluating the rate at which social media content diffuses. A piece of content does not diffuse in isolation but, rather, coexists with other content on the same social media platform. After analyzing Twitter data from four distinct crises, the results indicate that other content’s diffusion often dampens a specific post’s diffusion speed. This is important for humanitarian organizations to recognize and carries implications for how they can coordinate with other organizations to avoid inhibiting the propagation of each other’s social media content. Finally, a user’s followers on social media platforms represent the user’s direct audience. The larger the user’s follower base, the more easily the same user can extensively broadcast information. Therefore, I study what drives the growth of humanitarian organizations’ follower bases during times of normalcy and emergency using Twitter data from one week before and one week after the 2016 Ecuador earthquake.
Date Created
2018
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Finding the Best Fit to Maximize Responsiveness in Humanitarian Logistics: An Information Processing Perspective

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Description
Within humanitarian logistics, there has been a growing trend of adopting information systems to enhance the responsiveness of aid delivery. By utilizing such technology, organizations are able to take advantage of information sharing and its benefits, including improved coordination and

Within humanitarian logistics, there has been a growing trend of adopting information systems to enhance the responsiveness of aid delivery. By utilizing such technology, organizations are able to take advantage of information sharing and its benefits, including improved coordination and reduced uncertainty. This paper seeks to explore this phenomenon using organizational information processing theory. Drawing from complexity literature, we argue that demand complexity should have a positive relationship with information sharing. Moreover, higher levels of information sharing should generate higher responsiveness. Lastly, we examine the effects of organizational structure on the relationship between information sharing and responsiveness. We posit that the degree of centralization will have a positive moderation effect on the aforementioned relationship. The paper then describes the methodology planned to test these hypotheses. We will design a case-based simulation that will incorporate current disaster situations and parameters experienced by Community Preparedness Exercise and Fair (COMPEF), which acts as a broker for the City of Tempe and various humanitarian groups. With the case-based simulation data, we will draw theoretical and managerial implications for the field of humanitarian logistics.
Date Created
2013-05
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A New Balanced Scorecard: Supplier Metrics Measuring Supplier Performance in the Automotive Industry

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This paper will explore how suppliers are being evaluated. It will focus on the automotive industry and the state of supplier relations in two major automotive manufacturers in the United States. A literature review will reveal common supplier metrics across

This paper will explore how suppliers are being evaluated. It will focus on the automotive industry and the state of supplier relations in two major automotive manufacturers in the United States. A literature review will reveal common supplier metrics across industries and what they attempt to measure. Further exploration into the structure and problems at one automotive manufacturer will reveal areas of improvement. Finally, a new balanced scorecard system will be proposed to better measure supplier performance.
Date Created
2015-05
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