The State of Single-Family Residential Housing Ownership: An Analysis of the Housing Ownership Crisis Across the United States, Maricopa County, and Pinal County

Description
This paper examines the decreasing affordability of single-family residential homes across the United States, with a special emphasis on Maricopa and Pinal County, Arizona. A historical analysis was conducted on the single-family residential property sector utilizing Federal Reserve and local

This paper examines the decreasing affordability of single-family residential homes across the United States, with a special emphasis on Maricopa and Pinal County, Arizona. A historical analysis was conducted on the single-family residential property sector utilizing Federal Reserve and local government data. An affordability model is developed to demonstrate income thresholds needed to afford a median priced home in Maricopa and Pinal County, while a factor model is developed to predict the economic shifts needed to rectify this issue. My findings suggest that single-family homes have reached peak prices and are not affordable for the average American, based on median income. This housing crisis is the result of many economic factors, including but not limited to: below-average homebuilding, the lock-in effect, excessively cheap monetary policy, mortgages rates, and housing inflation. This is an unprecedented time in our nation’s history, placing tremendous pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and Congress to tackle this issue. A closing recommendation will discuss the outlook for the single family residential sector.
Date Created
2024-05
Agent

The Effect of Interest Rates on Single Family Housing

Description

The single-family housing market has long been a cornerstone in the United States economy and represents a major portion of the nation’s overall wealth. With a peak total value of over $47 trillion dollars, the single-family housing market accounts for

The single-family housing market has long been a cornerstone in the United States economy and represents a major portion of the nation’s overall wealth. With a peak total value of over $47 trillion dollars, the single-family housing market accounts for a great deal of capital for many individuals, as well as corporations (Chen, Katz, 3). For many Americans, the equity that lies in their homes makes up a majority of their net worth. That is why it is so important to understand how this market functions and what factors cause the most fluctuation in the price, sales rate, and overall market. In the last three years, single-family housing has been more volatile than ever before, especially in cities like Phoenix which have a growing population and prosperous economy. This led me to question what had caused this fluctuation and how can I prepare for the future? This thesis explores the effect that interest rates have on the housing market by focusing on the relationship between interest rates and the single-family housing market, focusing primarily on the Phoenix metro area. The goal of this thesis is to analyze the effects that micro and macro factors have on the single-family housing market to determine if interest rates are the driving factor.

Date Created
2023-05
Agent

Real Estate Investment Trusts and the U.S. Economy: The Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and REIT Returns in the U.S.

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Description

This thesis investigates the performance of publicly traded equity real estate investment trusts (REITs) in the United States (U.S.) and their sensitivity to underlying macroeconomic factors. Specifically, this study employs a quantitative research analysis that utilizes technical, correlation, and regression

This thesis investigates the performance of publicly traded equity real estate investment trusts (REITs) in the United States (U.S.) and their sensitivity to underlying macroeconomic factors. Specifically, this study employs a quantitative research analysis that utilizes technical, correlation, and regression analyses to identify how different REIT sectors react to changes in economic conditions. Data for the study was collected from publicly available and reliable sources, including the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (Nareit) and the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Four areas of research guide the study. First, the study explores the relationship between different REIT property sectors and the underlying causes of similarities and differences in sector performance. Second, the study examines how macroeconomic variables, such as GDP, inflation, and interest rates, affect the performance of publicly traded equity REITs. Third, the study investigates the significance of the relationship between macroeconomic factors and REIT sector performance to assess the varying impact on different property types. Finally, the study explores whether a model can be developed to predict the performance of REIT sectors based on macroeconomic variables. Overall, the findings in this study will provide valuable insights into how REITs across and within property types perform and react to changes in the macroeconomic environment. Furthermore, because real estate represents a significant component of the economy, it can offer investors valuable insights into broader economic trends and conditions, contributing to a better understanding of economic cycles and identifying potential opportunities and risks.

Date Created
2023-05
Agent

Accessory Dwelling Units: A Case Study in ROI and Housing Affordability in Tempe, AZ

Description

My Barrett Honors Thesis focuses on answering the question of whether a current owner of a single family home in Tempe, Arizona would receive an adequate return on investment (“ROI”) to justify adding an accessory dwelling unit (“ADU”) on their

My Barrett Honors Thesis focuses on answering the question of whether a current owner of a single family home in Tempe, Arizona would receive an adequate return on investment (“ROI”) to justify adding an accessory dwelling unit (“ADU”) on their property for the purpose of generating rental income and capital appreciation. I focused my research on Tempe’s zoning regulations, ADU general contractor (“GC”) options, possible parcels, proposed construction plans and budget, and lastly, a pro forma to determine ROI. After conducting the research, discussing with several GCs, and modeling returns, I determined that unlevered ADU development constitutes a novelty, not a solid investment choice with today’s market conditions. Factors that would change this recommendation decision would include a decrease in interest rates or a tempering of construction costs.

Date Created
2023-05
Agent

Comparing the Performance of Publicly Traded REITs: Low Price to FFO vs. High Price to FFO

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Description
This thesis is broken up into two parts: a research paper and a creative project. The paper provides an overview of the REIT universe as well as important historical and legal information about REITs. The creative project explores how REIT

This thesis is broken up into two parts: a research paper and a creative project. The paper provides an overview of the REIT universe as well as important historical and legal information about REITs. The creative project explores how REIT performance varied based on valuation multiples during a five-month period from October of 2021 to March of 2022. My initial objective was to determine whether a “growth” or “value” investment strategy worked best in the current market. However, I quickly discovered that the prevailing market conditions were far different than I expected. As a result, I gained valuable insight into how REITs behave during periods of market uncertainty.
Date Created
2022-05
Agent

Opportunities for Growth: Capitalization of Current Trends Relating to the Commercial Construction Industry

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Description

Executive Casework, Inc. is a custom commercial mill working company based in San<br/>Jose, CA. Although the company originally only focused on cabinets, it has expanded to include custom reception desks and solid surface countertops to meet demand. The company founded

Executive Casework, Inc. is a custom commercial mill working company based in San<br/>Jose, CA. Although the company originally only focused on cabinets, it has expanded to include custom reception desks and solid surface countertops to meet demand. The company founded by David and Mark Brown has humble beginnings, originally located in Mark's garage. Over the last two decades, the company has seen astronomical growth buoyed up by the fast increase in commercial real estate in Silicon Valley.<br/>However, the company is currently facing considerable uncertainty like many others in the industry. These resulting overhead costs, when paired with future uncertainty of demand created by geopolitical trends, work from home, and Covid-19, create a notable problem for Executive Casework, Inc. As such, this thesis will focus on strategic steps Executive Casework, Inc. can make to capitalize on current macrocosmic trends, as well as trends within their own industry. More specifically, it will be a strategic analysis identifying the key external forces driving the fluctuating revenues in the commercial custom mill working industry, followed by an analysis of these external forces (magnitude and longevity). We will end with a framework for capitalizing on these trends by organizationally and physically placing a company like our exemplar company, Executive Casework, in the best position to realize maximum profitability.

Date Created
2021-05
Agent