Analyzing the History of Flight Delays within the United States and Modeling a Flight Route to Decrease Delay Rate in Collaboration with Honeywell Aerospace

This thesis project focused on determining the primary causes of flight delays within the United States then building a machine learning model using the collected flight data to determine a more efficient flight route from Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport in Phoenix, Arizona to Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas, Nevada. In collaboration with Honeywell Aerospace as part of the Ira A. Fulton Schools of Engineering Capstone Course, CSE 485 and 486, this project consisted of using open source data from FlightAware and the United States Bureau of Transportation Statistics to identify 5 primary causes of flight delays and determine if any of them could be solved using machine learning. The machine learning model was a 3-layer Feedforward Neural Network that focused on reducing the impact of Late Arriving Aircraft for the Phoenix to Las Vegas route. Evaluation metrics used to determine the efficiency and success of the model include Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Average Error (MAE), and R-Squared Score. The benefits of this project are wide-ranging, for both consumers and corporations. Consumers will be able to arrive at their destination earlier than expected, which would provide them a better experience with the airline. On the other side, the airline can take credit for the customer's satisfaction, in addition to reducing fuel usage, thus making their flights more environmentally friendly. This project represents a significant contribution to the field of aviation as it proves that flights can be made more efficient through the usage of open source data.