Hydrologic Dynamics of Dryland Playas and Their Catchments in the Chihuahuan Desert

In the southwestern United States, water is a precious resource that influences landscapes and their respective ecosystems. Ephemeral lakes, known as playas, are drainage points for closed or endorheic basins and serve as important locations for plant productivity, biogeochemical processes, and groundwater recharge. In this study, I explore the hydrologic dynamics of eighteen (18) instrumented playas in the Jornada Basin of the Chihuahuan Desert with respect to the drivers of playa inundation and how their behaviors vary in space and time. To this end, I combine water level observations in playas with gauge-corrected radar precipitation estimates to determine hydrologic dynamics over the more than 6-year period of June 2016 to October 2022. Results indicate that all playa inundation events are associated with precipitation and that 76% of events occur during the warm season from April to September that is characterized by the North American monsoon. Mean annual runoff ratios in the playa catchments range from 0.01% to 9.28%. I observe precipitation depth and 60-minute intensity thresholds for playa inundation ranging from 16.1 to 71.3 mm and 8.8 to 40.5 mm/hr, respectively. Although playa inundation is typically caused by high rainfall amounts and intensities, other factors such as antecedent wetness conditions and the spatial variability of rainfall within the playa catchment also play a role. The magnitudes, durations, and occurrence of inundation events vary among playas, but their responses to precipitation generally agree with groupings determined based on their geological origin. Logistic and linear regressions across all playas reveal the relative importance of catchment variables, such as area, sand fraction, slope, and the percentage of bare ground. It is shown that larger catchment areas are strongly associated with a lower likelihood of inundation and higher precipitation thresholds for inundation. An analysis of precipitation data from 1916 to 2015 leads to the estimation of historical playa inundation and suggests that an increase has occurred in the frequency of large rainfall events that may be associated with increasing frequency of playa inundation. This study highlights the complex nature of playa inundation in the Jornada Basin, which can change over time in an evolving climate and landscape.