Description
The hydrologic cycle in drylands is complex with large spatiotemporal variationsacross scales and is particularly vulnerable to changes in climate and land cover. To
address the challenges posed by hydrologic changes, a synergistic approach that
combines numerical models, ground and remotely sensed observations, and data analysis
is crucial. This dissertation uses innovative detection and modeling techniques to assess
key hydrologic variables in drylands, including irrigated water use, streamflow, and
snowpack conditions, answering following research questions that also have broad
societal implications: (1) What are the individual and combined effects of future climate
and land use change on irrigation water use (IWU) in the Phoenix Metropolitan Area
(PMA)?; (2) How can temporal changes in streamflow and the impacts of flash flooding
be detected in dryland rivers?; and (3) What are the impacts of rainfall-snow partitioning
on future snowpack and streamflow in the Colorado River Basin (CRB)?
Firstly, I conducted a scenario modeling using the Variable Infiltration Capacity
(VIC) model under future climate and land use change scenarios. Results showed that
future IWU will change from -0.5% to +6.8% in the far future (2071-2100) relative to the
historical period (1981-2010). Secondly, I employed CubeSat imagery to map streamflow
presence in the Hassayampa River of Arizona, finding that the imaging capacity of
CubeSats enabled the detection of ephemeral flow events using the surface reflectance of
the near-infrared (NIR) band. Results showed that 12% of reaches were classified as
intermittent, with the remaining as ephemeral. Finally, I implemented a physically-based
rainfall-snow partitioning scheme in the VIC model that estimates snowfall fraction from
the wet-bulb temperature using a sigmoid function. The new scheme predicts more
significant declines in snowfall (-8 to -11%) and streamflow (-14 to -27%) by the end of
the 21st century over the CRB, relative to historical conditions.
Overall, this dissertation demonstrates how innovative technologies can enhance
the understanding of dryland hydrologic changes and inform decision-making of water
resources management. The findings offer important insights for policymakers, water
managers, and researchers who seek to ensure water resources sustainability under the
effects of climate and land use change.
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Details
Title
- Innovations in Detecting and Modeling Dryland Hydrologic Changes
Contributors
- Wang, Zhaocheng (Author)
- Vivoni, Enrique R (Thesis advisor)
- White, Dave D (Committee member)
- Mascaro, Giuseppe (Committee member)
- Huang, Huei-Ping (Committee member)
- Wang, Zhihua (Committee member)
- Arizona State University (Publisher)
Date Created
The date the item was original created (prior to any relationship with the ASU Digital Repositories.)
2023
Subjects
Resource Type
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Note
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Partial requirement for: Ph.D., Arizona State University, 2023
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Field of study: Civil, Environmental and Sustainable Engineering