Description

Summer extreme heat events in the arid Phoenix, Arizona (USA) metropolitan region for the period 2041-2070 are projected based on the ensemble of ten climate models from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program for the SRES A2 greenhouse

Summer extreme heat events in the arid Phoenix, Arizona (USA) metropolitan region for the period 2041-2070 are projected based on the ensemble of ten climate models from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program for the SRES A2 greenhouse gas emissions scenario by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Extreme heat events are identified by measures related to two thresholds of the maximum daily air temperature distribution for the historical reference period 1971-2000. Comparing this reference period to the model ensemble-mean, the frequency of extreme heat events is projected to increase by a factor of six to 1.9 events per summer and the average number of event days per year is projected to increase by a factor of 14. The inter-model range for the average number of EHE days per summer is larger for the projected climate, 10.6 to 42.2 days, than for simulations of the past climate simulations (1.5 to 2.4 days).

Reuse Permissions
  • Downloads
    PDF (715.3 KB)

    Details

    Title
    • Extreme Summer Heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) Under Global Climate Change (2041-2070)
    Date Created
    2013-11-30
    Resource Type
  • Text
  • Collections this item is in
    Identifier
    • Identifier Type
      International standard serial number
      Identifier Value
      0013-9998
    Note
    • This article was published at http://www.die-erde.org/index.php/die-erde/article/view/92

    Citation and reuse

    Cite this item

    This is a suggested citation. Consult the appropriate style guide for specific citation guidelines.

    Grossman-Clarke, Susanne, Schubert, Sebastian, Clarke, Thomas R., & Harlan, Sharon L. (2014). Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070). ERDE, 145(1), 49-61.

    Machine-readable links